Equibase | Free Picks (2024)

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne

Hawthorne - Race 10

WPS (12% Takeout) / $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta $1 Pentafecta Hi-5

Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 6:22P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (PREFERENCE BY CONDITION ELIGIBILITY). IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders

Race Analysis

P#

Horse

Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. C V RONIN LEGACY is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * LICENSE TO STEAL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" design ation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SHOTGUN RUNNER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equi base Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.

9

LICENSE TO STEAL

5/1

3/1

10

SHOTGUN RUNNER

7/2

6/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure

7

C V RONIN LEGACY

7

20/1

Front-runner

63.5

63.5

49.5

2

INTERLUDE

2

4/1

Stalker

65

57

63.6

66.9

56.9

9

LICENSE TO STEAL

9

5/1

Stalker

82

73

40.8

75.8

71.8

6

MAX'S MAP

6

20/1

Alternator/Stalker

68

60

57.2

61.6

52.6

5

LONE RETURN

5

20/1

Alternator/Stalker

66

61

54.8

59.1

45.6

3

GOOD YEGG

3

20/1

Trailer

77

70

56.9

56.9

51.9

12

MACHIVA

12

9/2

Trailer

74

72

27.4

62.5

52.0

10

SHOTGUN RUNNER

10

7/2

Alternator/Trailer

83

78

49.7

61.4

54.9

4

TUFF HEART

4

30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

64

54

44.2

44.2

27.2

13

FLYING CRICKET

13

30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

62

46

34.6

34.6

15.1

Unknown Running Style: SMARTY LOMBARDI (30/1) [Jockey: Esquivel Valentin - Trainer: Weir III George L], NITSCHKE (6/1) [Jockey: Mojica Orlando - Trainer: Block Chris M], ALADANTE (30/1) [Jockey: Baird E T - Trainer: Hughes Earl W].

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special Wager

Special Wager - Race 2

Leg 2 of the Horseshoe Turf Pick 3

Claiming $7,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 4:47P
IND - R6 - (RAIL AT 12 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 10 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 5 FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders

Race Analysis

P#

Horse

Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Class. BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB): Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.

3

BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB)

4/5

8/5

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure

9

GET THE CANDY

9

20/1

Front-runner

80

51

89.2

71.8

57.8

12

THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB)

12

30/1

Front-runner

81

70

87.8

77.0

57.5

1

DRAGON DREW

1

8/1

Front-runner

87

85

86.6

75.6

65.1

6

EASILY INFLUENCED

6

30/1

Front-runner

70

68

83.4

70.2

55.2

10

EL GAVILAN

10

12/1

Front-runner

89

83

81.7

81.4

69.4

8

DEUS EX MACHINA

8

20/1

Front-runner

85

80

74.0

68.4

52.9

7

CAMPTON

7

30/1

Stalker

80

72

61.5

69.2

57.2

5

REVERE NOTE

5

15/1

Stalker

74

72

58.2

66.6

50.6

3

BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB)

3

4/5

Alternator/Stalker

108

108

103.4

100.6

98.6

11

MAJOR WAGER

11

6/1

Alternator/Stalker

89

83

56.8

83.4

78.4

2

MR INSENSITIVE

2

20/1

Trailer

83

69

47.8

62.8

50.3

4

DIRECT ACTION

4

30/1

Alternator/Non-contender

75

76

90.3

70.8

51.8

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $140000 Class Rating: 112

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 FOUR TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OVER A MILE ON THE TURF SINCE OCTOBER 26. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE



RECOMMENDEDCHOICES

Equibase | Free Picks (1)


# 7 UNCLE JAKE 10/1

# 10 CHASING THE CROWN 3/1

# 2 SMOKIN' T 8/1

My selection in this contest is UNCLE JAKE and could score at a price in here. Has very good front speed and will almost certainly fare soundly against this field. Must be given a shot for this event if only for the decent speed figure earned in the last contest.CHASING THE CROWN - Is a solid contender based on numbers recorded recently under today's conditions. Must be given a shot based on the formidable speed figure garnered in the last outing.SMOKIN' T - McGaughey has this horse racing well and is a very strong pick based on the strong Equibase Speed Figures put up in route races as of late. Appears to have a respectable class edge based on the latest company kept.

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Equibase | Free Picks (2)

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6 - Post: 5:15pm - Optional Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: Equibase | Free Picks (3)Equibase | Free Picks (4)Equibase | Free Picks (5)Equibase | Free Picks (6)

#5 OUR STRONG VOWS (ML=8/1)
#4 TOOLCAT (ML=5/2)
#3 I RECALL (ML=4/1)

OUR STRONG VOWS - This jock/handler duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +31. She must like the track here. She just won over the track after shipping in. This mare is in fine condition, having run a good race on September 23rd, finishing first. TOOLCAT - The rider and handler combination have a beneficial return on investment when they are put together. A mare like this one, almost always in the top three, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse. I RECALL - I took a look at this mare's finishes. She's almost always in the money. Good return on investment for this rider and trainer tandem. Have to give this mare a chance. Ran a good contest last time out within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 DI'S SURPRISE (ML=9/5), #2 VINOS ANGEL (ML=7/2),

DI'S SURPRISE - Nice race on September 19th at Hawthorne, but the fact that there are no workouts since has to make one a little worried. VINOS ANGEL - Would have to get better off that fourth place finish last time to make an impact here.

Equibase | Free Picks (7)GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - OUR STRONG VOWS - This horse's pace figures lead me to believe that she will use her energy to take this affair from gate to finish.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #5 OUR STRONG VOWS to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,5] Box [3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[3,4,5] with [3,4,5] with [2,3,4,5,6] with [2,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12600 Class Rating: 77

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 10. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000



RECOMMENDEDCHOICES

Equibase | Free Picks (8)


# 3 AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 8/1

# 8 FRANCO 4/1

# 10 SWELTER 3/1

AMERICAN NIGHTMARE is the most competitive bet in this race and could score at a price in here. With a strong 77 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing. Ortizruiz is serious with this one, wheeling him back quickly.FRANCO - This gelding with Diaz in the saddle makes him a definite contender. Has to be given a chance based on the strong Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest.SWELTER - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look formidable in this contest. Appears to have a formidable class edge based on the recent company kept.

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Equibase | Free Picks (9)

Remington Park - Race #8 - Post: 9:53pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Equibase | Free Picks (10)Equibase | Free Picks (11)Equibase | Free Picks (12)Equibase | Free Picks (13)

#5 WORLD FAIR (ML=8/1)
#2 YELL COUNTY (ML=8/1)
#7 DELTA FRONT (ML=8/1)

WORLD FAIR - On board this thoroughbred on August 24th and Diaz is yet again in the irons this time. Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. YELL COUNTY - Trainer Black gave this gelding a good stiff workout. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. Is ranked number one in the field in earnings per race. A powerful outing in this event can increase the lifetime total. DELTA FRONT - I think this gelding is coming into top form. This horse coming off a good race in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my opinion. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (22-70-74) make this horse a solid contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 COPPER STORM (ML=3/1), #10 MIND HUNTER (ML=4/1), #9 TX CODE (ML=5/1),

COPPER STORM - Would have to get much more than the morning line odds of 3/1 to play this thoroughbred. MIND HUNTER - This animal didn't show any pace in the last affair. Now he is trying a sprint. Tough chance at the shorter distance. Hasn't raced since May 26th, probably too long ago to expect much this time out. TX CODE - Doesn't seem to be in a convenient situation this time around.

Equibase | Free Picks (14)GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DELTA FRONT - A tried and true angle. Take a sprinter in the third and fourth start after a layoff. That's the time when they peak.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #5 WORLD FAIR on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[2,5,7] with [2,5,7] with [2,5,7,8,10] with [2,5,7,8,10] Total Cost: $36

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